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Prediction for CME (2024-12-25T17:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-12-25T17:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35946/-1
CME Note: Slowly developing loop seen to the northeast in SOHO LASCO C2 imagery during a STEREO A data gap. Characterized by a dimming (GOES SUVI 284) and destabilization near AR3934 (N15E02) with northeastward deflection, a surge in GOES SUVI 304, and change in magnetic field structure with rising structure in GOES SUVI 195/171. ~29/06:00Z-ish (pink line), 29/15:00Z (red line), and 29/22:00Z (green line). No clear arrival signature seen in the solar wind at L1, although there could be super minor potential magnetic obstacles seen around 2024-12-29T06:00Z, 2024-12-29T15:00Z and 2024-12-29T22:00Z, mainly indicated by minor drops in density.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-29T20:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -216.95 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z

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